Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Lea Boskovic

Team pages: Sakura Hosogi · Lea Boskovic

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Sakura Hosogi Lea Boskovic
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLLL
Lea Boskovic 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1541 · Lea Boskovic 1502
Sakura HosogiLea Boskovic
Our model56%44%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Sakura HosogiLea Boskovic
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11.8-10.110.8-11.7
Aces0.80.7
Double faults1.43.1
1st serve %62.2%57.9%
Break %47.5%58.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sakura Hosogi

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Darja Vidmanova
W100 Evansville
0-2 6-13 L
22/07 Ena Koike
W100 Evansville
2-1 15-13 W
18/07 Sara Saito
W75 Granby
0-2 6-12 L
17/07 Ena Koike
W75 Granby
2-1 18-14 W
16/07 Alexandra Vagramov
W75 Granby
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Hayu Kinoshita
W75 Granby
2-0 12-3 W
12/07 Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus
0-2 6-11 L
11/07 Sara Daavettila
W50 Columbus
2-1 14-13 W
10/07 Ana Grubor
W50 Columbus
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Thara Gowda
W50 Columbus
2-1 16-9 W

Lea Boskovic

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Dominika Salkova
W100 Gran Canaria
1-2 10-16 L
21/07 Diletta Cherubini
W75 Cordenons
0-2 8-12 L
12/07 Eva Vedder
W75 The Hague
0-2 7-12 L
11/07 Lia Karatancheva
W75 The Hague
2-1 15-12 W
10/07 Jenny Lim
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-5 W
09/07 Anouck Vrancken Peeters
W75 The Hague
2-1 13-16 W
08/07 Raluca Georgiana Serban
W75 The Hague
2-0 11-6 W
24/06 Sofia Rocchetti
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
11/06 Elina Avanesyan
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
10/06 Erika Andreeva
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Lea Boskovic?

Our model gives 66% to Lea Boskovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.