Tennis · M15 Trier · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: John Sperle vs Linus Lagerbohm

Team pages: John Sperle · Linus Lagerbohm

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
John Sperle Linus Lagerbohm
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
John Sperle 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLWL
Linus Lagerbohm 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · John Sperle 1487 · Linus Lagerbohm 1578
John SperleLinus Lagerbohm
Our model37%63%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linus Lagerbohm (rating 1487 vs 1578).

Statistics

John SperleLinus Lagerbohm
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.5-0.8
Games (G-P)9.9-8.912.2-9.5
Aces0.82.4
Double faults0.82.3
1st serve %64.4%68.6%
Break %39.9%49.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

John Sperle

LWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Andrey Chepelev
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
28/06 Amit Vales
Challenger Troyes · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
22/06 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/06 Dominik Palan
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/06 Nico Hipfl
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/06 Adam Jilly
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Attila Dominik Boros
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
12/06 Nikita Belozertsev
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
11/06 Alexandr Tiutchenko
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Sasha Colleu
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Linus Lagerbohm

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Jan Hrazdil
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 Mikolaj Migdalski
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-3 W
21/07 Igor Marcondes
Challenger Tampere · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
12/07 Imanol Lopez Morillo
M15 Lodz
2-0 13-9 W
11/07 Leyton Rivera
M15 Lodz
2-1 18-13 W
10/07 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Lodz
2-1 14-12 W
09/07 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Patrik Homola
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Ruben Hartig
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
18/06 Moritz Kudernatsch
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in John Sperle vs Linus Lagerbohm?

Our model gives 52% to Linus Lagerbohm, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.