Prediction: Maxime Chazal vs Kaspar Mathes
Team pages: Maxime Chazal · Kaspar Mathes
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Chazal
Kaspar Mathes
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Chazal
8-2 (W-L)
Kaspar Mathes
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Chazal 1506 · Kaspar Mathes 1406
| Maxime Chazal | Kaspar Mathes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Chazal (rating 1506 vs 1406).
- Maxime Chazal is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maxime Chazal | Kaspar Mathes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.7 | 7.9-12 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 25.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | David Fix M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Tim Hammes M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Maxence Rivet M15 Strasbourg |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 12/07 | Sander Jong Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Kaspar Mathes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tim Hammes M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 29/07 | Neo Niedner M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Jip Van Assendelft M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Lasse Poertner M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Raghav Jaisinghani M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dorian Verrue M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Felix Einig M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Mika Petkovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Aaron Gil Garcia ITF M25 Sarreguemines · Carpet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Chazal vs Kaspar Mathes?
Our model gives 81% to Maxime Chazal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.