Tennis · M15 Malmo · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro vs Davide Tortora

Team pages: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro · Davide Tortora

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Davide Tortora
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWLW
Davide Tortora 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1478 · Davide Tortora 1580
Joao Victor Couto LoureiroDavide Tortora
Our model36%64%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Davide Tortora (rating 1478 vs 1580).
  • Davide Tortora is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Joao Victor Couto LoureiroDavide Tortora
Win %40%80%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 83% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.8-0.6
Games (G-P)10.5-11.213.1-9.1
Aces5.33.8
Double faults4.41.7
1st serve %68%71%
Break %46.6%49%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Dominik Kellovsky
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-13 L
23/07 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 1-12 L
22/07 Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-6 W
06/07 Ignacio Monzon
Challenger Bogota · Clay
1-2 18-20 L
05/07 Salvador Price
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
22/06 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
21/06 Juan Bautista Otegui
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
15/06 Maximo Zeitune
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
14/06 Tomas Martinez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
13/06 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Brasilia
0-2 5-12 L

Davide Tortora

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
27/07 Alberto Morolli
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
26/07 Romeo Spinolo
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
19/07 Pierre Delage
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Nikita Belozertsev
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
15/07 Jorge Plans
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
04/07 Niccolo Baroni
M15 Store
1-2 13-16 L
03/07 Attila Dominik Boros
M15 Store
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Store
2-0 13-9 W
01/07 Jeremy Schifris
M15 Store
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joao Victor Couto Loureiro vs Davide Tortora?

Our model gives 71% to Davide Tortora, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.