Prediction: Matas Vasiliauskas vs Alejandro Arcila
Team pages: Matas Vasiliauskas · Alejandro Arcila
Prediction summary
Winner
Matas Vasiliauskas
Alejandro Arcila
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Matas Vasiliauskas
2-8 (W-L)
Alejandro Arcila
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matas Vasiliauskas 1427 · Alejandro Arcila 1522
| Matas Vasiliauskas | Alejandro Arcila | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Arcila (rating 1427 vs 1522).
- Alejandro Arcila is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Matas Vasiliauskas makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Matas Vasiliauskas | Alejandro Arcila | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-10.4 | 10.6-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 28.4% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matas Vasiliauskas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Evangelos Kypriotis M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 25/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 18/06 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Adhithya Ganesan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Asier Civera Martinez M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alejandro Arcila
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lisandru Rodriguez M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Joan Torres Espinosa M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 09/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 07/11 | Glib Sekachov UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Matthias Uwe Kask UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Kahven Singh UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Roi Ginat UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Bautista Durrels Rojo UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matas Vasiliauskas vs Alejandro Arcila?
Our model gives 68% to Alejandro Arcila, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.