Tennis · M15 Malmo · 12/08, 10:00

Prediction: Leo Borg vs Kevin Edengren

Team pages: Leo Borg · Kevin Edengren

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Leo Borg Kevin Edengren
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Borg 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWLL
Kevin Edengren 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leo Borg 1535 · Kevin Edengren 1484
Leo BorgKevin Edengren
Our model57%43%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leo Borg (rating 1535 vs 1484).

Statistics

Leo BorgKevin Edengren
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 75% (8) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.80.9-1.4
Games (G-P)11.2-10.29.2-11.7
Aces33.8
Double faults3.11.9
1st serve %68.8%63%
Break %44.4%30.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leo Borg

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Vlado Jankanj
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
22/07 Kristijan Juhas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
01/05 Muhammad Shoaib
M15 Islamabad · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
29/04 Aqeel Khan
M15 Islamabad · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
02/04 Alastair Gray
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/04 Dragos Nicolae Madaras
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
29/03 Sidharth Rawat
M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
28/03 Arjun Rathi
M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
27/03 Manish Sureshkumar
M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
26/03 Chirag Duhan
M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Kevin Edengren

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Adam Lynch
M25 Denia
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Gandia
1-2 10-15 L
23/06 Francisco Faria
M25 Porto
0-2 6-13 L
17/06 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Rahul Dhokia
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
28/05 Yanki Erel
M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/05 Karol Malirz
M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
22/05 Daniil Ostapenkov
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/05 Cyril Vandermeersch
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Robin Catry
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leo Borg vs Kevin Edengren?

Our model gives 61% to Leo Borg, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.