Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 12/08, 04:00
Prediction: Qian Sun vs Yuta Kawahashi
Team pages: Qian Sun · Yuta Kawahashi
Prediction summary
Winner
Qian Sun
Yuta Kawahashi
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Qian Sun
6-4 (W-L)
Yuta Kawahashi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qian Sun 1498 · Yuta Kawahashi 1470
| Qian Sun | Yuta Kawahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Qian Sun makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Qian Sun | Yuta Kawahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12 | 9.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qian Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Hanlei Lu M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Shu Muto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Jie Cui M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 21/05 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Yuta Kawahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 30/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qian Sun vs Yuta Kawahashi?
Our model gives 54% to Yuta Kawahashi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.