Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 12/08, 04:00

Prediction: Yuki Mochizuki vs Fanming Meng

Team pages: Yuki Mochizuki · Fanming Meng

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Yuki Mochizuki Fanming Meng
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Mochizuki 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWWWWL
Fanming Meng 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuki Mochizuki 1544 · Fanming Meng 1468
Yuki MochizukiFanming Meng
Our model61%39%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuki Mochizuki (rating 1544 vs 1468).

Statistics

Yuki MochizukiFanming Meng
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.90.8-1.2
Games (G-P)11.3-8.68.9-9.2
Aces41.6
Double faults2.42.5
1st serve %74%70.9%
Break %49%41.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuki Mochizuki

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/08 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin
1-2 9-15 L
08/08 Donghyun Hwang
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-6 W
07/08 Tsung-Hao Huang
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-3 W
06/08 Ruochen Gao
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-2 W
04/08 Jaesung Choe
M15 Tianjin
2-1 16-11 W
23/07 Moerani Bouzige
M15 Brisbane
1-2 13-14 L
22/07 Charlie Camus
M15 Brisbane
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Chase Ferguson
M25 Brisbane
0-2 6-12 L
10/07 Omar Jasika
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
09/07 Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Fanming Meng

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Jangjun Kim
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
09/07 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
30/06 Amirkhamza Nasridinov
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
26/06 Xirui Han
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/06 Chase Ferguson
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Yeongseok Jeong
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
09/06 Thantub Suksumrarn
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
05/06 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
04/06 Tianhui Zhang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
1-0 6-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuki Mochizuki vs Fanming Meng?

Our model gives 70% to Yuki Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.