Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 12/08, 04:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Daniil Sarksian
Team pages: Matthew Dellavedova · Daniil Sarksian
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Daniil Sarksian
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
7-3 (W-L)
Daniil Sarksian
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew Dellavedova
1–0
Daniil Sarksian
(1 last)
- 27 Mar2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1661 · Daniil Sarksian 1444
| Matthew Dellavedova | Daniil Sarksian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 22% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1661 vs 1444).
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Matthew Dellavedova 1–0 Daniil Sarksian (1).
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Daniil Sarksian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-7.9 | 10.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 67% |
| Break % | 45% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Matthew Dellavedova 1 – 0 Daniil Sarksian (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Dellavedova 1–0 Daniil Sarksian
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 M15 Maanshan | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Suk Ann M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Kazuki Nakajima M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Mustafa Ege Sik M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Jake Delaney M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Daniil Sarksian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 10/06 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Nicholas David Ionel M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Daniil Sarksian?
Our model gives 83% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.