Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 11/08, 04:00
Prediction: Yuki Karatsu vs Corban Crowther
Team pages: Yuki Karatsu · Corban Crowther
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Karatsu
Corban Crowther
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Karatsu
5-5 (W-L)
Corban Crowther
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Karatsu 1447 · Corban Crowther 1539
| Yuki Karatsu | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corban Crowther (rating 1447 vs 1539).
- Corban Crowther dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 70.3% break avg.
- Corban Crowther is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yuki Karatsu | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.6 | 10.8-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 70.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Karatsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Taichi Wakamatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Yuya Hirose M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/11 | Aidan Lam Meng Bart UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/11 | Ko Fujikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/11 | Michael Dylan Jimenez UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Yuta Mitsui UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/11 | Ryuichiro Nakano UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Braden Shick UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Wulfrano M M Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Mattias Southcombe UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Corban Crowther
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Noa Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Kotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Eric Matthew Gunawan M15 Bali Qual |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Bali |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Karatsu vs Corban Crowther?
Our model gives 80% to Corban Crowther, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.