Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 10/08, 06:20
Prediction: Taichi Wakamatsu vs Yuki Karatsu
Team pages: Taichi Wakamatsu · Yuki Karatsu
Prediction summary
Winner
Taichi Wakamatsu
Yuki Karatsu
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Taichi Wakamatsu
7-3 (W-L)
Yuki Karatsu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taichi Wakamatsu 1541 · Yuki Karatsu 1454
| Taichi Wakamatsu | Yuki Karatsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taichi Wakamatsu (rating 1541 vs 1454).
- Taichi Wakamatsu is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Yuki Karatsu makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Taichi Wakamatsu | Yuki Karatsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.6 | 9.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taichi Wakamatsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Ha Minh Duc Vu UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Dai Khanh Nguyen UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Thanh Minh Truong UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/07 | Minh Phat Nguyen UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Kohtaro Kuriyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/10 | Oliver Welch UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Yuki Karatsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Yuya Hirose M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/11 | Aidan Lam Meng Bart UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/11 | Ko Fujikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/11 | Michael Dylan Jimenez UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Yuta Mitsui UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/11 | Ryuichiro Nakano UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Braden Shick UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Wulfrano M M Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Mattias Southcombe UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taichi Wakamatsu vs Yuki Karatsu?
Our model gives 76% to Taichi Wakamatsu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.