Tennis · ATP Montreal MD · 10/08, 18:30
Prediction: Luz/Matos vs Andreozzi/Guinard
Team pages: Luz/Matos · Andreozzi/Guinard
Prediction summary
Winner
Luz/Matos
Andreozzi/Guinard
Estimated games
26.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luz/Matos
6-4 (W-L)
Andreozzi/Guinard
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luz/Matos
1–1
Andreozzi/Guinard
(2 last)
- 18 Feb1-2 15-19L
- 14 Feb2-1 23-19W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luz/Matos 1551 · Andreozzi/Guinard 1562
| Luz/Matos | Andreozzi/Guinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luz/Matos | Andreozzi/Guinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.6-12.9 | 14.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5
H2H · Luz/Matos 1 – 1 Andreozzi/Guinard (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luz/Matos 1–1 Andreozzi/Guinard
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/26 ATP Rio de Janeiro MD | 1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 14/02/26 ATP Buenos Aires MD | 2-1 | 23-19 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luz/Matos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Cabral/Tracy ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 25-21 | W |
| 07/08 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Seggerman/Trhac ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Isaro/Paris ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gonzalez/Pacheco Mendez ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Droguet/Jacquet ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
| 24/07 | Arends/Pel ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-16 | W |
| 23/07 | Domingues/Torres ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Ho/Kittay ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Arends/Pel ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
1-2 | 15-20 | L |
Andreozzi/Guinard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Arnaldi/Musetti ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Washington MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Miedler/Polmans ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Heliovaara/Patten Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Ho/Jebens Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Romboli/Smith Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Carreno Busta/Munar Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 25/06 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 24-21 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luz/Matos vs Andreozzi/Guinard?
Our model gives 58% to Andreozzi/Guinard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.