Tennis · ATP Montreal MD · 09/08, 21:30
Prediction: Pavlasek/Rikl vs Arevalo/Pavic
Team pages: Pavlasek/Rikl · Arevalo/Pavic
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavlasek/Rikl
Arevalo/Pavic
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pavlasek/Rikl
8-2 (W-L)
Arevalo/Pavic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavlasek/Rikl 1540 · Arevalo/Pavic 1603
| Pavlasek/Rikl | Arevalo/Pavic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arevalo/Pavic (rating 1540 vs 1603).
Statistics
| Pavlasek/Rikl | Arevalo/Pavic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-10.3 | 13.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 81.8% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavlasek/Rikl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Hanfmann/Struff ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Miedler/Polmans ATP Kitzbuhel MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Stevenson/Willis ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Burruchaga/Kestelboim ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Nam/Niklas-Salminen ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Ivanisevic/Poljicak ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Heliovaara/Patten Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Hijikata/Polmans Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Giron/Tabilo Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Arevalo/Pavic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Galloway/King ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Heliovaara/Patten Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Krawietz/Puetz Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Cash/Glasspool Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Rojer/Winegar Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/07 | Stevenson/Willis Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Bublik/Kyrgios Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Cash/Glasspool ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavlasek/Rikl vs Arevalo/Pavic?
Our model gives 63% to Arevalo/Pavic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.