Tennis · ATP Montreal MD · 07/08, 17:00
Prediction: Bolelli/Vavassori vs Luz/Matos
Team pages: Bolelli/Vavassori · Luz/Matos
Prediction summary
Winner
Bolelli/Vavassori
Luz/Matos
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Bolelli/Vavassori
6-4 (W-L)
Luz/Matos
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bolelli/Vavassori 1565 · Luz/Matos 1547
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Luz/Matos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Luz/Matos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.6 | 14.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 81.8% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolelli/Vavassori
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Behar/Chandrasekar ATP Washington MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-22 | L |
| 27/07 | Cash/Erler ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Krajicek/Mektic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/07 | De Jong/Royer Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Jones/Paris Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Granollers/Zeballos French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nouza/Oberleitner French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 31/05 | Paul/Willis French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Bhambri/Venus French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Duckworth/Trungelliti French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Luz/Matos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Seggerman/Trhac ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Isaro/Paris ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gonzalez/Pacheco Mendez ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Droguet/Jacquet ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
| 24/07 | Arends/Pel ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-16 | W |
| 23/07 | Domingues/Torres ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Ho/Kittay ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Arends/Pel ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
1-2 | 15-20 | L |
| 12/07 | Reymond/Sanchez Challenger Braunschweig MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Pieczonka/Vrbensky Challenger Braunschweig MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolelli/Vavassori vs Luz/Matos?
Our model gives 63% to Bolelli/Vavassori, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.