Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 07/08, 20:00
Prediction: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin
Team pages: Spencer Johnson · Andres Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Spencer Johnson
Andres Martin
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Spencer Johnson
9-1 (W-L)
Andres Martin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spencer Johnson 1580 · Andres Martin 1583
| Spencer Johnson | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Spencer Johnson dominates on serve: 7 aces and 44.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Spencer Johnson | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.1 | 13.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 7 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Ryan Colby Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Remy Bertola Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Noah Zamora M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Alex Kobelt Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Ugo Humbert ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Moez Echargui ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin?
Our model gives 54% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.