Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 07/08, 18:00
Prediction: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilas
Team pages: Rei Sakamoto · Edas Butvilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Rei Sakamoto
Edas Butvilas
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rei Sakamoto
5-5 (W-L)
Edas Butvilas
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rei Sakamoto
0–1
Edas Butvilas
(1 last)
- 01 Jun0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rei Sakamoto 1517 · Edas Butvilas 1483
| Rei Sakamoto | Edas Butvilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Edas Butvilas dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 42.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Rei Sakamoto 0–1 Edas Butvilas (1).
Statistics
| Rei Sakamoto | Edas Butvilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.7 | 11.7-12 |
| Aces | 11 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Rei Sakamoto 0 – 1 Edas Butvilas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rei Sakamoto 0–1 Edas Butvilas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/24 ITF M25 La Nucia | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rei Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jules Leroux Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Anton Matusevich Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Yibing Wu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Pedro Martinez French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Alex Molcan Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Edas Butvilas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Ozan Baris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Moez Echargui Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilas?
Our model gives 54% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.