Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Piraino vs Ognjen Milic
Team pages: Gabriele Piraino · Ognjen Milic
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Piraino
Ognjen Milic
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Piraino
5-5 (W-L)
Ognjen Milic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Piraino 1518 · Ognjen Milic 1598
| Gabriele Piraino | Ognjen Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ognjen Milic (rating 1518 vs 1598).
- Note: Gabriele Piraino makes many double faults (6.1/match).
- Note: Ognjen Milic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Gabriele Piraino | Ognjen Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12.9 | 12.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 58.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Piraino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Ognjen Milic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Milos Mikovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Jorge Plans M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Eero Vasa Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Piraino vs Ognjen Milic?
Our model gives 61% to Ognjen Milic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.