Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 07/08, 14:00

Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Gabriele Piraino

Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Gabriele Piraino

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Gerard Campana Lee Gabriele Piraino
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWWL
Gabriele Piraino 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1608 · Gabriele Piraino 1527
Gerard Campana LeeGabriele Piraino
Our model61%39%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1608 vs 1527).
  • Gerard Campana Lee is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Note: Gabriele Piraino makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Gerard Campana LeeGabriele Piraino
Win %90%60%
Win % · Clay 90% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.41.5-1.2
Games (G-P)12.9-7.913-12.1
Aces2.72.4
Double faults3.15.8
1st serve %77.6%65%
Break %56.9%45.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gerard Campana Lee

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
04/08 Pietro Marino
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
03/08 Stefan Horia Haita
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/08 Vladislav Melnic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
13/07 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
12/07 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
07/07 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
06/07 Michiel de Krom
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
05/07 Fadi Bidan
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Gabriele Piraino

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Ognjen Milic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
04/08 Carlo Alberto Caniato
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
26/07 Jozef Kovalik
Challenger San Marino · Clay
1-2 17-16 L
23/06 Lorenzo Angelini
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
13/06 Fausto Tabacco
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
12/06 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-1 12-13 W
10/06 Sebastiano Cocola
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
09/06 Daniele Rapagnetta
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-1 14-14 W
06/06 Luca Potenza
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Gabriele Piraino?

Our model gives 55% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.