Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Adrian Andreev vs Petr Nesterov
Team pages: Adrian Andreev · Petr Nesterov
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Andreev
Petr Nesterov
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Andreev
8-2 (W-L)
Petr Nesterov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Andreev 1581 · Petr Nesterov 1560
| Adrian Andreev | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adrian Andreev | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.8 | 13.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Andreev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Carles Cordoba Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mathys Domenc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Alexandr Binda M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Eero Vasa M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Ole Bredschneijder M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Lewie Lane M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Andreev vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model gives 52% to Petr Nesterov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.