Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 06/08, 00:30
Prediction: Soonwoo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan
Team pages: Soonwoo Kwon · Andre Ilagan
Prediction summary
Winner
Soonwoo Kwon
Andre Ilagan
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Soonwoo Kwon
6-4 (W-L)
Andre Ilagan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soonwoo Kwon 1571 · Andre Ilagan 1520
| Soonwoo Kwon | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soonwoo Kwon (rating 1571 vs 1520).
- Soonwoo Kwon is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Soonwoo Kwon | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-11.5 | 12.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Martin Landaluce Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Arthur Gea Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Remy Bertola ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Connor Plunkett Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soonwoo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan?
Our model gives 69% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.