Tennis · M25 Tauste · 05/08, 18:00
Prediction: Noah Lopez Cherubino vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Noah Lopez Cherubino · Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Noah Lopez Cherubino
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Lopez Cherubino
5-5 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noah Lopez Cherubino 1510 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1532
| Noah Lopez Cherubino | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Pavlos Tsitsipas dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 48.9% break avg.
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Noah Lopez Cherubino | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.9 | 12.6-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 75.8% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noah Lopez Cherubino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Gianluca Carlini M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrea Colombo M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Zach Stephens M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Alvaro Jimenez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Carles Hernandez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Maj Premzl M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Dominik Palan M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Roan Jones M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James McGloughlin M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Vasco L Prata M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 06/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noah Lopez Cherubino vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 51% to Noah Lopez Cherubino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.