Tennis · M25 Tauste · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Aryan Shah
Team pages: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · Aryan Shah
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Aryan Shah
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Aryan Shah
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1505 · Aryan Shah 1496
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.1 | 10.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Matthew Summers M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Robin Catry M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Aryan Shah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Louis Larue M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Matusevich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/03 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Morelos · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/02 | Ben Jones Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/01 | Luca Pow M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Aryan Shah?
Our model gives 50% to Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.