Tennis · M25 Tauste · 06/08, 10:00

Prediction: Benjamin Pietri vs Pavlos Tsitsipas

Team pages: Benjamin Pietri · Pavlos Tsitsipas

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Benjamin Pietri Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Pietri 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLWLLLL
Pavlos Tsitsipas 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benjamin Pietri 1524 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1567
Benjamin PietriPavlos Tsitsipas
Our model44%56%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavlos Tsitsipas (rating 1524 vs 1567).
  • Pavlos Tsitsipas dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 51.2% break avg.
  • Note: Benjamin Pietri makes many double faults (4.5/match).
  • Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Benjamin PietriPavlos Tsitsipas
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 100% (2) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.6-0.9
Games (G-P)11.5-10.213.2-11.9
Aces1.56.7
Double faults4.56
1st serve %68.6%76.8%
Break %56%51.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benjamin Pietri

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Alafia Ayeni
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
04/08 Julio Cesar Porras
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
20/07 Lui Maxted
M15 Rognac
0-2 8-13 L
09/07 Florent Bax
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 6-13 L
08/07 Pablo Pradat
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/07 Mathieu Scaglia
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
30/06 Peter Buldorini
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 15-9 W
26/06 Lukas Pokorny
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/06 Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Pavlos Tsitsipas

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
04/08 Dominik Palan
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
30/07 Roan Jones
M15 Dublin
1-2 13-16 L
28/07 James McGloughlin
M15 Dublin
2-0 12-7 W
17/07 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 14-18 L
16/07 Rodrigo Leal
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 14-10 W
15/07 Vasco L Prata
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-6 W
08/07 Aren Baybars
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Bryan Hernandez Cortes
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 19-17 W
06/07 Yeray Andres Pastor
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 11-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benjamin Pietri vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Our model gives 54% to Benjamin Pietri, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.