Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 06/08, 11:00
Prediction: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger
Team pages: Petr Nesterov · Sebastian Sorger
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Nesterov
Sebastian Sorger
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Nesterov
6-4 (W-L)
Sebastian Sorger
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Nesterov 1568 · Sebastian Sorger 1588
| Petr Nesterov | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Petr Nesterov | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.2 | 11.4-7.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Eero Vasa M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Ole Bredschneijder M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Lewie Lane M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/08 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Maximilian Figl M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Fares Zakaria M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Gschiel M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger?
Our model gives 54% to Petr Nesterov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.