Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 06/08, 11:00
Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Gerard Campana Lee
Team pages: Samuele Pieri · Gerard Campana Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Pieri
Gerard Campana Lee
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri
5-5 (W-L)
Gerard Campana Lee
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Samuele Pieri
1–0
Gerard Campana Lee
(1 last)
- 16 Mar2-1 17-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1523 · Gerard Campana Lee 1581
| Samuele Pieri | Gerard Campana Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1523 vs 1581).
- Gerard Campana Lee is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Samuele Pieri 1–0 Gerard Campana Lee (1).
Statistics
| Samuele Pieri | Gerard Campana Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.1 | 12.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 79.2% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Samuele Pieri 1 – 0 Gerard Campana Lee (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samuele Pieri 1–0 Gerard Campana Lee
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Challenger Zadar | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Pieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Moritz Kudernatsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Noel Larwig Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Gerard Campana Lee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Vladislav Melnic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Fadi Bidan Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Gerard Campana Lee?
Our model gives 51% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.