Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Edas Butvilas
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Edas Butvilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Edas Butvilas
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
7-3 (W-L)
Edas Butvilas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1620 · Edas Butvilas 1454
| Ozan Baris | Edas Butvilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozan Baris (rating 1620 vs 1454).
- Ozan Baris is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Edas Butvilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.2 | 11.7-13.2 |
| Aces | 5 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 48% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Liam Broady Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Oliver Bonding M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mees Rottgering M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodor Davidov M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Edas Butvilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Moez Echargui Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Edas Butvilas?
Our model gives 57% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.