Tennis · M25 Tauste · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Goncalo Marques vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Team pages: Goncalo Marques · Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Prediction summary
Winner
Goncalo Marques
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Goncalo Marques
8-2 (W-L)
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Goncalo Marques
0–2
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
(2 last)
- 29 Feb0-2 5-12L
- 22 Feb0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Goncalo Marques 1570 · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1506
| Goncalo Marques | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goncalo Marques (rating 1570 vs 1506).
- Head-to-head: Goncalo Marques 0–2 Alejo Sanchez Quilez (2).
Statistics
| Goncalo Marques | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.6 | 10.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Goncalo Marques 0 – 2 Alejo Sanchez Quilez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Goncalo Marques 0–2 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/02/24 M15 Villena | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/02/24 M15 Villena | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goncalo Marques
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Domingues M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Emile Hudd M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Orlando Luz Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goncalo Marques vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?
Our model gives 63% to Alejo Sanchez Quilez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.