Tennis · M25 Tauste · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Aryan Shah vs Luca Potenza
Team pages: Aryan Shah · Luca Potenza
Prediction summary
Winner
Aryan Shah
Luca Potenza
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aryan Shah
3-7 (W-L)
Luca Potenza
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aryan Shah 1442 · Luca Potenza 1513
| Aryan Shah | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Potenza (rating 1442 vs 1513).
Statistics
| Aryan Shah | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.4 | 11-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aryan Shah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Louis Larue M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Matusevich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/03 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Morelos · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/02 | Ben Jones Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/01 | Luca Pow M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 06/01 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Luca Potenza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Samuel Heredia M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Elmer Moller Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 07/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aryan Shah vs Luca Potenza?
Our model gives 63% to Luca Potenza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.