Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 05/08, 05:30
Prediction: Sera Nishimoto vs Meiqi Guo
Team pages: Sera Nishimoto · Meiqi Guo
Prediction summary
Winner
Sera Nishimoto
Meiqi Guo
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sera Nishimoto
3-7 (W-L)
Meiqi Guo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sera Nishimoto 1467 · Meiqi Guo 1539
| Sera Nishimoto | Meiqi Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Meiqi Guo (rating 1467 vs 1539).
Statistics
| Sera Nishimoto | Meiqi Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.3 | 11.2-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 68% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sera Nishimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Minxu Zhou W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Yujin Kim W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Yui Chikaraishi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Arina Varaksina W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Onyu Choi W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Meiqi Guo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Shiyu Ye W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Ma Ruoxi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Xiran Lan W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Ke Ren W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Hina Inoue W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sera Nishimoto vs Meiqi Guo?
Our model gives 71% to Meiqi Guo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.