Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 13/08, 04:00
Prediction: Yu Jun Lin vs Duanrui Gao
Team pages: Yu Jun Lin · Duanrui Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Jun Lin
Duanrui Gao
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Jun Lin
3-7 (W-L)
Duanrui Gao
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Jun Lin 1486 · Duanrui Gao 1409
| Yu Jun Lin | Duanrui Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yu Jun Lin (rating 1486 vs 1409).
Statistics
| Yu Jun Lin | Duanrui Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.5 | 6.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 47.7% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Jun Lin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Yuhan Wang W15 Tianjin |
1-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 07/08 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Nina Vargova W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/03 | Xiyu Wang W50 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Eunhye Lee W50 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/03 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 18/03 | Yidi Yang W35 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/03 | JiaYi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 12/03 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Duanrui Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Michika Ozeki W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Xinyi Nong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Yidi Yang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Tiana Tian Deng W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Zijun Jiang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 06/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Yuhan Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Le Yi Liu W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Yajing Cao W35 Anning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Jun Lin vs Duanrui Gao?
Our model gives 76% to Yu Jun Lin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.