Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 12/08, 04:00
Prediction: Ruien Zhang vs Chenting Zhu
Team pages: Ruien Zhang · Chenting Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ruien Zhang
Chenting Zhu
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ruien Zhang
3-7 (W-L)
Chenting Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruien Zhang 1501 · Chenting Zhu 1563
| Ruien Zhang | Chenting Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chenting Zhu (rating 1501 vs 1563).
- Note: Ruien Zhang makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Ruien Zhang | Chenting Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.3 | 11.6-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruien Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Yuhan Wang W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Tianjin |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Han Shi W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Jordina Font W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Anastasia Abbagnato W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Oceane Babel W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Chenting Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Junhan Zhang W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/08 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | JiaYi Wang W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | JiaLi Dong W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Yuyao Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Onyu Choi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruien Zhang vs Chenting Zhu?
Our model gives 67% to Chenting Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.