Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 06/08, 04:00
Prediction: Sae Noguchi vs Junhan Zhang
Team pages: Sae Noguchi · Junhan Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Sae Noguchi
Junhan Zhang
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sae Noguchi
7-3 (W-L)
Junhan Zhang
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sae Noguchi 1566 · Junhan Zhang 1524
| Sae Noguchi | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sae Noguchi (rating 1566 vs 1524).
Statistics
| Sae Noguchi | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.4 | 10.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 52.8% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 62.1% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sae Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Anna Snigireva W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Miho Kuramochi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Shiho Tsujioka W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Nagisa Suzuki W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Junhan Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tiantian Sun W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Rira Kosaka W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Ma Ruoxi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 09/07 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Chenting Zhu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sae Noguchi vs Junhan Zhang?
Our model gives 60% to Sae Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.