Prediction: Lorenzo Rottoli vs Alessandro Spadola
Team pages: Lorenzo Rottoli · Alessandro Spadola
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Rottoli
Alessandro Spadola
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Rottoli
5-5 (W-L)
Alessandro Spadola
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Rottoli 1477 · Alessandro Spadola 1488
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Alessandro Spadola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Alessandro Spadola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.2 | 9.7-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 48% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Denis Klok M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Jan Wygona M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alessandro Spadola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Maximilian Figl M25 Fano |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 17/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | William Mirarchi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 19/04 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/03 | Daniel Uta M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/02 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Rottoli vs Alessandro Spadola?
Our model gives 60% to Lorenzo Rottoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.