Prediction: Peter Buldorini vs Marcello Serafini
Team pages: Peter Buldorini · Marcello Serafini
Prediction summary
Winner
Peter Buldorini
Marcello Serafini
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Peter Buldorini
4-6 (W-L)
Marcello Serafini
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peter Buldorini 1450 · Marcello Serafini 1498
| Peter Buldorini | Marcello Serafini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcello Serafini (rating 1450 vs 1498).
- Note: Peter Buldorini makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Marcello Serafini makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Peter Buldorini | Marcello Serafini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12.4 | 12.5-13.7 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peter Buldorini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Fano |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicola Rispoli M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Jasin Jakupi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Robert Strombachs Davis Cup |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Marcello Serafini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Wels |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Wels |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Pierluigi Basile M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Louis Larue M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 23/06 | Henry Bernet M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peter Buldorini vs Marcello Serafini?
Our model gives 57% to Marcello Serafini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.