Prediction: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Gabriele Maria Noce
Team pages: Carl Emil Overbeck · Gabriele Maria Noce
Prediction summary
Winner
Carl Emil Overbeck
Gabriele Maria Noce
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carl Emil Overbeck
10-0 (W-L)
Gabriele Maria Noce
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carl Emil Overbeck 1651 · Gabriele Maria Noce 1522
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carl Emil Overbeck (rating 1651 vs 1522).
- Carl Emil Overbeck is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-7.5 | 11.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carl Emil Overbeck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tobia Grandinetti M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Petr Nesterov M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Evangelos Kypriotis M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Gabriele Maria Noce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Nicola Rispoli M25 Fano |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Pietro Pampanin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/07 | Marko Nikolic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Filippo Alfano M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carl Emil Overbeck vs Gabriele Maria Noce?
Our model gives 79% to Carl Emil Overbeck, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.