Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 04/08, 18:30
Prediction: Alex Bolt vs Abedallah Shelbayh
Team pages: Alex Bolt · Abedallah Shelbayh
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Bolt
Abedallah Shelbayh
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Bolt
4-6 (W-L)
Abedallah Shelbayh
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Bolt 1457 · Abedallah Shelbayh 1508
| Alex Bolt | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Abedallah Shelbayh (rating 1457 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Alex Bolt | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-13.3 | 11.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 22.7% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Bolt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/07 | James McCabe ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 13/06 | Jamie Mackenzie ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Arthur Fery Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Lukas Neumayer French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Billy Harris ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Bolt vs Abedallah Shelbayh?
Our model gives 56% to Abedallah Shelbayh, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.