Tennis · M25 Tauste · 04/08, 14:30
Prediction: Goncalo Marques vs Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta
Team pages: Goncalo Marques · Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta
Prediction summary
Winner
Goncalo Marques
Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Goncalo Marques
7-3 (W-L)
Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Goncalo Marques 1537 · Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta 1437
| Goncalo Marques | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goncalo Marques (rating 1537 vs 1437).
- Goncalo Marques is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Goncalo Marques | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.3 | 9.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Domingues M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Emile Hudd M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Noah Regas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Ryotaro Taguchi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 09/02 | Aryan Lakshmanan Challenger Chennai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/02 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Chennai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/01 | Udit Kamboj M15 Hyderabad · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 11/11 | Laurin Aerne ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 27/10 | Tarun Karra ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Congsup Congcar ITF M15 Hua Hin Qual |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Igor Marcondes ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Ryo Minakata ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goncalo Marques vs Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta?
Our model gives 78% to Goncalo Marques, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.