Tennis · M25 Tauste · 04/08, 19:00
Prediction: Matias Reyniak vs Ander Tarrio Ponte
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Reyniak
Ander Tarrio Ponte
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Reyniak
5-5 (W-L)
Ander Tarrio Ponte
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Reyniak 1533 · Ander Tarrio Ponte 1558
| Matias Reyniak | Ander Tarrio Ponte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matias Reyniak | Ander Tarrio Ponte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.5 | 12-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 52% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 25% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Reyniak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Lefteri Apostolou M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Mae Malige M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Arda Azkara M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Theo Herrmann M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ilya Ignatov M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Karol Malirz M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Ander Tarrio Ponte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Max Villar M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Lautaro Agustin Corthey UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Riccardo Campagnola UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Razvan Baiant UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Timo De Visser UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Jakub Volesky UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 26/06 | Aleksa Oparnica UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Carl Holder UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Reyniak vs Ander Tarrio Ponte?
Our model gives 62% to Matias Reyniak, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.