Tennis · M25 Tauste · 04/08, 13:00
Prediction: Alafia Ayeni vs Mikel Martinez
Team pages: Alafia Ayeni · Mikel Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Alafia Ayeni
Mikel Martinez
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alafia Ayeni
4-6 (W-L)
Mikel Martinez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alafia Ayeni 1460 · Mikel Martinez 1433
| Alafia Ayeni | Mikel Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Alafia Ayeni | Mikel Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.8 | 10.1-12.6 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 61% |
| Break % | 36% | 34.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alafia Ayeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Ethan Cook Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/05 | Reda Bennani Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/05 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Mikel Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Julien Dando M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 16/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 10/11 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Pablo Aunion ITF M25 Sintra · Hard |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 12/09 | Daniel De Jonge ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Michiel de Krom ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Naim Benito Fernandez ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Lucca Helguera Casado ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Benjamin Winter Lopez ITF M25 Oviedo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alafia Ayeni vs Mikel Martinez?
Our model gives 73% to Alafia Ayeni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.