Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 07/08, 02:00
Prediction: Sage Bergeson vs Marley Lambert
Team pages: Sage Bergeson · Marley Lambert
Prediction summary
Winner
Sage Bergeson
Marley Lambert
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sage Bergeson
4-6 (W-L)
Marley Lambert
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sage Bergeson 1491 · Marley Lambert 1488
| Sage Bergeson | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marley Lambert makes many double faults (9.6/match).
Statistics
| Sage Bergeson | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-8.8 | 8.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 9.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.3% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 57.5% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sage Bergeson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Tia Messerli UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Mila Mulready UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/07 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kelly Shi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Tiffany Papazian UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/08 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Marley Lambert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tia Messerli UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Louise Wikander UTR Pro Denver Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Natali Jaiani UTR Pro Denver Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Betina Tokac UTR Pro Denver Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Anya Nelson UTR Pro Denver Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Nadia Kojonroj UTR Pro Denver Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Stephanie Shogreen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Tia Messerli UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Alisa Lansky UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sage Bergeson vs Marley Lambert?
Our model gives 58% to Sage Bergeson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.