Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 08/08, 18:00
Prediction: Veronika Miroshnichenko vs Simone Kay
Team pages: Simone Kay
Prediction summary
Winner
Veronika Miroshnichenko
Simone Kay
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Veronika Miroshnichenko
10-0 (W-L)
Simone Kay
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Veronika Miroshnichenko 1642 · Simone Kay 1538
| Veronika Miroshnichenko | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veronika Miroshnichenko (rating 1642 vs 1538).
- Veronika Miroshnichenko is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Veronika Miroshnichenko makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Veronika Miroshnichenko | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-5.8 | 9.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 78.1% | 56.5% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Veronika Miroshnichenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Mika Ikemori UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Abigail Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Sue Yan Tan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Salma Ewing UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Kate Mansfield UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Sue Yan Tan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Misa Malkin W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Simone Kay
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Hudson Hawkins UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Isabella Foshee W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jane Dunyon W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Salma Ewing W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Madeline Cleary W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Kelly Keller W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Theadora Rabman W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Veronika Miroshnichenko vs Simone Kay?
Our model gives 78% to Veronika Miroshnichenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.