Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 08/08, 18:00
Prediction: Calla McGill vs Shakhnoza Khatamova
Team pages: Calla McGill · Shakhnoza Khatamova
Prediction summary
Winner
Calla McGill
Shakhnoza Khatamova
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Calla McGill
5-5 (W-L)
Shakhnoza Khatamova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calla McGill 1509 · Shakhnoza Khatamova 1562
| Calla McGill | Shakhnoza Khatamova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shakhnoza Khatamova (rating 1509 vs 1562).
- Note: Calla McGill makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Calla McGill | Shakhnoza Khatamova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.5 | 11.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 62.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calla McGill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Aryana Bartlett UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Shakhnoza Khatamova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Tianmei Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Chelsea Bluestein UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Briley Rhoden UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Lily Rochon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Maria Aytoyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/07 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/06 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Anjani Haripriya Vickneswaran UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Gala Arangio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calla McGill vs Shakhnoza Khatamova?
Our model gives 71% to Shakhnoza Khatamova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.