Prediction: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Tobia Grandinetti
Team pages: Carl Emil Overbeck · Tobia Grandinetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Carl Emil Overbeck
Tobia Grandinetti
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carl Emil Overbeck
10-0 (W-L)
Tobia Grandinetti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carl Emil Overbeck 1638 · Tobia Grandinetti 1433
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Tobia Grandinetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carl Emil Overbeck (rating 1638 vs 1433).
- Carl Emil Overbeck is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Tobia Grandinetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-6.9 | 6.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 54.5% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carl Emil Overbeck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Petr Nesterov M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Evangelos Kypriotis M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Tobia Grandinetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Fano |
2-1 | 8-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Umag · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Facundo Yunis M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Pietro Marino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Simone Macchione M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Jacopo Borsoi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Julian Cundom M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 26/03 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carl Emil Overbeck vs Tobia Grandinetti?
Our model gives 86% to Carl Emil Overbeck, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.