Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/08, 15:30
Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Pietro Marino
Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Pietro Marino
Prediction summary
Winner
Gerard Campana Lee
Pietro Marino
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee
8-2 (W-L)
Pietro Marino
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1604 · Pietro Marino 1537
| Gerard Campana Lee | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1604 vs 1537).
Statistics
| Gerard Campana Lee | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.2 | 11.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 63% |
| Break % | 67.3% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gerard Campana Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Vladislav Melnic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Fadi Bidan Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Pietro Marino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Valentin Basel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Michael Zhu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Luca Parenti M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Pietro Marino?
Our model gives 70% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.