Tennis · M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Vardan Manukyan vs Dusan Obradovic
Team pages: Dusan Obradovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Vardan Manukyan
Dusan Obradovic
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Vardan Manukyan
5-5 (W-L)
Dusan Obradovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vardan Manukyan 1450 · Dusan Obradovic 1579
| Vardan Manukyan | Dusan Obradovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Obradovic (rating 1450 vs 1579).
- Dusan Obradovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Vardan Manukyan | Dusan Obradovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.5 | 9.9-8.6 |
| Aces | – | 2.4 |
| Double faults | – | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | – | 70.8% |
| Break % | – | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vardan Manukyan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Calin Apostol UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 07/04 | George Lazarov UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Matthias Ujvary UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/03 | Twan Van Zijl UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/03 | Otso Martikainen UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/03 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/03 | Elgin Khoeblal UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Stefan Cooper UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/02 | Arthur Bellegy M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/02 | Radovan Michalik UTR Pro Gyor · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Dusan Obradovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Jovan Bjelobrk M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Aaron Gil Garcia M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Milos Mikovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | George Lazarov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vardan Manukyan vs Dusan Obradovic?
Our model gives 79% to Dusan Obradovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.