Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 03/08, 18:00
Prediction: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Mees Rottgering
Team pages: Abedallah Shelbayh · Mees Rottgering
Prediction summary
Winner
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mees Rottgering
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Abedallah Shelbayh
6-4 (W-L)
Mees Rottgering
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Abedallah Shelbayh 1502 · Mees Rottgering 1550
| Abedallah Shelbayh | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mees Rottgering (rating 1502 vs 1550).
Statistics
| Abedallah Shelbayh | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.1 | 10.3-7.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Billy Harris ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lev Seidman M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Russell Lokko M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Billy Suarez M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Abedallah Shelbayh vs Mees Rottgering?
Our model gives 50% to Abedallah Shelbayh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.