Tennis · UTR Pro Brisbane · 05/08, 02:30

Prediction: Hayden Jones vs Thomas Nicholas Gadecki

Team pages: Hayden Jones · Thomas Nicholas Gadecki

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Hayden Jones Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Hayden Jones 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWLLWW
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hayden Jones 1519 · Thomas Nicholas Gadecki 1490
Hayden JonesThomas Nicholas Gadecki
Our model54%46%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Thomas Nicholas Gadecki makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Hayden JonesThomas Nicholas Gadecki
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)9.5-9.29.4-11.1
Aces3.32.8
Double faults2.84.3
1st serve %67.7%66.2%
Break %40.2%48.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hayden Jones

WLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Brendan Loh
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/08 Marcus Schoeman
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
29/07 Jeremy Zhang
M15 Brisbane
0-2 3-9 L
22/07 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Brisbane
0-2 8-13 L
21/07 Asher Brownrigg
M15 Brisbane
2-0 12-2 W
14/07 Blake Ellis
M25 Brisbane
0-2 7-13 L
15/06 Kousuke Ogura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
11/06 Jumpei Yamasaki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
10/06 Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
08/06 Kazuki Nishiwaki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Thomas Nicholas Gadecki

LLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Marcus Schoeman
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Brendan Loh
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Zane Stevens
M15 Brisbane
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Harrison Satara
M15 Brisbane
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Taiki Takizawa
M25 Brisbane
1-2 11-13 L
04/06 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
03/06 Ye Hongyu
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 18-13 W
02/06 Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
27/05 Stefan Cooper
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
26/05 Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 12-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hayden Jones vs Thomas Nicholas Gadecki?

Our model gives 71% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.