Tennis · UTR Pro Brisbane · 07/08, 01:00
Prediction: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
Team pages: Sam Ryan Ziegann · Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
Prediction summary
Winner
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sam Ryan Ziegann
4-6 (W-L)
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sam Ryan Ziegann
2–0
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
(2 last)
- 19 Dec2-1 17-15W
- 18 Jul2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1527 · Thomas Nicholas Gadecki 1492
| Sam Ryan Ziegann | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sam Ryan Ziegann dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 55% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Sam Ryan Ziegann 2–0 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki (2).
- Note: Thomas Nicholas Gadecki makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Sam Ryan Ziegann | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.7 | 9.3-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 64% |
| Break % | 55% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Sam Ryan Ziegann 2 – 0 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sam Ryan Ziegann 2–0 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/23 ITF M15 Papamoa | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/07/22 ITF M15 Caloundra | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sam Ryan Ziegann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Sam Oster UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alec Gaudin UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Tanapatt Nirundorn M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Bali |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Bali |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Henry Lamchinniah UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Zane Stevens M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Harrison Satara M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Taiki Takizawa M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Ye Hongyu M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thomas Nicholas Gadecki?
Our model gives 63% to Sam Ryan Ziegann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.