Tennis · UTR Pro Brisbane · 06/08, 01:00
Prediction: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Sam Oster
Team pages: Sam Ryan Ziegann
Prediction summary
Winner
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam Oster
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sam Ryan Ziegann
4-6 (W-L)
Sam Oster
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sam Ryan Ziegann
5–0
Sam Oster
(5 last)
- 10 Apr2-0 13-8W
- 24 Sept2-0 12-7W
- 15 Aug2-0 13-6W
- 08 Aug2-1 17-16W
- 16 Oct2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1521 · Sam Oster 1450
| Sam Ryan Ziegann | Sam Oster | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sam Ryan Ziegann (rating 1521 vs 1450).
- Sam Ryan Ziegann dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 48.8% break avg.
- Sam Ryan Ziegann is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sam Ryan Ziegann 5–0 Sam Oster (5).
- Note: Sam Oster makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Sam Ryan Ziegann | Sam Oster | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.7 | 9.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 62% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Sam Ryan Ziegann 5 – 0 Sam Oster (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sam Ryan Ziegann 5–0 Sam Oster
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/24 UTR Pro Craigieburn | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09/23 UTR Pro Carrara | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08/23 UTR Pro Carrara | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08/23 UTR Pro Carrara | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/10/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Carrara | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sam Ryan Ziegann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alec Gaudin UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Tanapatt Nirundorn M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Bali |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Bali |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Sam Oster
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Cooper Kose UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/02 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/02 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/02 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/12 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/12 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Shugo Ishigaki UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/12 | Matthew Dellavedova UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 07/12 | Casey Ambler UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Sam Oster?
Our model gives 73% to Sam Ryan Ziegann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.