Tennis · M25 Fano · 03/08, 13:30

Prediction: Timeo Trufelli vs Leonardo Angeloni

Team pages: Timeo Trufelli · Leonardo Angeloni

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Timeo Trufelli Leonardo Angeloni
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Timeo Trufelli 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLLL
Leonardo Angeloni 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Timeo Trufelli 1481 · Leonardo Angeloni 1428
Timeo TrufelliLeonardo Angeloni
Our model58%42%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timeo Trufelli (rating 1481 vs 1428).

Statistics

Timeo TrufelliLeonardo Angeloni
Win %40%20%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1-1.30.5-1.6
Games (G-P)9.1-10.87.3-10.9
Aces2.20.6
Double faults2.52
1st serve %60.5%54.4%
Break %29.1%35.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Timeo Trufelli

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Strasbourg
0-2 3-12 L
14/07 Sean Cuenin
M25 Uriage
0-2 1-12 L
08/07 Jakub Nicod
M25 The Hague
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Justas Trainauskas
M25 The Hague
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Kimmer Coppejans
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 3-11 L
30/06 Justin Lenders
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
09/06 Leyton Rivera
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L
26/05 Daniel Antonio Nunez
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
25/05 Benjamin Martin
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
24/05 Paul Theate
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Leonardo Angeloni

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Daniel Lechner
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
1-2 9-10 L
14/07 Andrea De Marchi
M15 Gubbio
0-2 3-12 L
13/07 Boris Sarritzu
M15 Gubbio
2-0 13-7 W
01/07 Matyas Cerny
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/06 Trisztan Gubi
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
30/03 Alberto Bronzetti
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
03/03 Benoit Torcq
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/11 Marcel Zielinski
ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
24/09 Stefan Horia Haita
ITF M15 Otopeni
0-2 8-12 L
04/09 Ainius Sabaliauskas
ITF M15 Bologna · Clay
0-2 4-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Timeo Trufelli vs Leonardo Angeloni?

Our model gives 64% to Timeo Trufelli, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.